Monday, May 28, 2012

Mortgage Trends: Historic Low Mortgage Rates Can't Last Forever

In uncertain times, what can we predict about mortgage rates Los Angeles?
Both government rules and free markets tend to overreact to crisis, and nowhere has this been more true than the mortgage market meltdown of 2008.  From the freewheeling, no-proof-of-credit-worthiness times we thought we enjoyed in the first decade of this century, we have now cycled into a climate where the mortgage market is tighter than anyone can remember.  It is very unlikely that this tightness will persist.  As demand increases, there will be those lenders who will want to take advantage of better times.

Interest rates are at lows that no one would have predicted, but only because of low demand, Fed intervention, and a flight to safety in US Bonds.  The Fed is already discussing the timing of when this intervention will end, and any uptick in demand is likely to result in upward pressure on rates.  There is no precedent or imaginable scenario for rates to drop significantly below what they are today.  Could that happen? Sure, but the odds are way more likely that rates will go up significantly than down at all.

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